ผลกระทบของการเปลี่ยนแปลงราคาน้ำมันที่มีต่อสาขาเกษตรของประเทศไทย / ชยุตม์ วะนา = The Impacts of the oil Price Change on Agricultural Sectors of Thailand / Chayoot Wana
The main objective of the study is to analyze the impacts of the oil price change on agricultural sectors of Thailand by dividing into 2 parts. The first part is the study of the impacts by using the 1998 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) to analyze the impacts under Price Analysis Model. The second part is to conduct the field survey to interview farmers the impacts of oil price change on production cost, living cost and perception on alternative sources of energies. The analytical results show that the increase of oil price affect the price level of all agricultural sectors. The sector which got the highest impact is the agricultural service sector and the second is the fishery sector. The prices of the plant production sectors and the processed food sectors are the next ranks following by the livestock sector. On institutional sectors, expenditure of agricultural household, business investment and the government decline. According the interviews the farmers find that the cost of production is higher. But most of the farmers can not reduce the fuel cost because the quantity of production and service stations of the alternative energies are not widespread. Moreover, the farmers have lack of confidence on the quality of the alternative energies. The higher cost of living is mainly due to the higher oil price. Policy recommendations are as follows the private and official agencies should promote to use the alternative energies more. They also should promote the use of alternative energies with quality assurances. For a long term, they should provide enough service stations, especially the natural gas stations which Thailand can produce. Moreover, they should provide more research scholarships or set a project for the research of the alternative energies. With its successful planning will replace the fossil fuels permanently.
