Title | Business Cycles in BRICS [electronic resource] / edited by Sergey Smirnov, Ataman Ozyildirim, Paulo Picchetti |
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Imprint | Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2019 |
Edition | 1st ed. 2019 |
Connect to | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9 |
Descript | XI, 513 p. 137 illus., 78 illus. in color. online resource |
1. Introduction. Part I. The Global Economy and BRICS -- 2. BRICS in the Global Economy -- 3. Institutions, Productivity Change and Growth -- 4. The Connectedness of Business Cycles between the BRICS -- Part II. History and Driving Forces of Economic Cycles in BRICS -- 5. Economic Cycles in Brazil -- 6. Economic Fluctuations and Their Drivers in Russia -- 7. Business Cycle Measurement in India -- 8. Economic Cycles and Crises in New China -- 9. China’s Economic Cycles: Characteristics and Determinant Factors -- 10. A Brief History of Business Cycle Measurement in South Africa -- Part III. Business Tendency Surveys (BTSs) in BRICS -- 11. International Tradition of Tendency Surveys -- 12. Economic Tendency Surveys in Brazil: Main Features and Uses -- 13. Russian Business Tendency Surveys by HSE and Rosstat -- 14. Business Tendency Surveys in India -- 15. Business Tendency Surveys in China -- 16. South Africa: The BER’s Business Tendency Surveys -- Part IV. Composite Cyclical Indicators for Real-Time Monitoring and Forecasting the BRICS Economies -- 17. Compiling Cyclical Composite Indexes: The Conference Board Indicators Approach -- 18. Coincident and Leading Indicators for Brazilian Cycles -- 19. Brazilian Business Cycles as Characterized by CODACE -- 20. A Bayesian Approach to Predicting Cycles Using Composite Indicators -- 21. A Survey of Composite Leading Indices for Russia -- 22. Indices of Regional Economic Activity for Russia -- 23. An Application of the Indicator Approach to Developing Coincident and Leading Economic Indexes for India -- 24. Business Climate Indices in China -- 25. Tracking Business and Growth Cycles in the Chinese Economy Using Composite Indexes -- 26. The SARB’s Composite Business Cycle Indicators -- 27. Alternative Cycle Indicators for the South African Business Cycle -- 28. Forecasting Business Cycles in South Africa -- Part V. Concluding remarks. 29. Measurement, Monitoring, and Forecasting Economic Cycles: BRICS Lessons