Title | Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations [electronic resource] / edited by Kenneth G. Manton, Burton H. Singer, Richard M. Suzman |
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Imprint | New York, NY : Springer New York, 1993 |
Connect to | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9332-0 |
Descript | X, 371 p. online resource |
One. Introduction -- 1 The Scientific and Policy Needs for Improved Health Forecasting Models for Elderly Populations -- Two. Methodological Issues -- 2 Actuarial and Demographic Forecasting Methods -- 3 Demographic Change in the United States, 1970โ2050 -- 4 Health Forecasting and Models of Aging -- Three. Forecasting Techniques for Specific Diseases -- 5 Cancer Forecasting: Cohort Models of Disease Progression and Mortality -- 6 The Effects of Risk Factors on Male and Female Cardiovascular Risks in Middle and Late Age -- 7 Frailty and Forecasts of Active Life Expectancy in the United States -- 8 Risk Factors Affecting Multiple-Disease Efficacy and Effectiveness of Intervention Programs -- Four. Effects of Interventions on Health Costs -- 9 Estimates and Projections of Dementia-Related Service Expenditures -- 10 A Forecasting Model for the Assessment of Medical Technologies: End-Stage Renal Disease -- 11 Projections of the Aged Supplementary Security Income Population: The Implications of Uncertainty -- 12 Evaluation of Long-Term Care: Estimation of Health Transitions in Frail Populations -- 13 Financing and Use of Long-Term Care for the Elderly -- Five. Longitudinal Research: Current Status and Future Outlook -- 14 Molecular Biological Approaches to Understanding Aging and Senescence -- 15 Biomedical Research and Changing Concepts of Disease and Aging: Implications for Long-Term Health Forecasts for Elderly Populations