Why schedule risk analysis? Looking beyond the critical path method -- Uncertainty in activity durations : using probability distributions -- Uncertainty along a schedule path : using Monte Carlo Simulation -- A good project schedule is needed : critical path method scheduling 101 -- Collecting risk data : exploring methods and problems -- Where parallel paths merge : introducting the "merge bias" and risk criticality -- Probabilistic branching : analyzing discrete risk events -- Using risks to drive the analysis and prioritize risks: introducing the "risk driver" method -- Schedule contingency plans : using conditional branching -- When activity durations move together : incorporating correlation -- Risk management in the organization : identifying the mature risk management culture -- The problem with PERT