การศึกษาผลกระทบของมาตรการเปิดเสรีสินค้าเกษตรภายใต้องค์การการค้าโลก ที่มีต่ออุตสาหกรรมน้ำตาลไทย / พัลลภา เพชรวรกุล = Impacts of WTO agricultural liberalizaion on the Thai sugar industry / Pallapa Petchworakul
The objective of this study was to analyze the impacts of agricultural liberalization of the World Trade Organization (WTO) on of the Thai sugar industry. These impacts were studied the policy commitment: a reduction in sugar tariff, a reduction in sugar producer price support of Thailand, and a reduction in sugar production subsidy of WTO members. The methodology employed was that of the computable general equilibrium approach whereby inter-linkage among industries could be analyzed and the impacts of the agricultural liberalization of the inter-relationship among economic agents could be systematically integrated into the model. Thus, the chained reaction could be traced out following a change in some policy varibles. The model used in this study was based on CAMGEM, a multi-sectoral model analysis of the Thai economy. The results indicated that the WTO agricultural liberalization benefited the sugar industry, expanded the related industries and enhanced the growth of the Thai economy. According to the policy implication, the consumer will obviously gain benefit from the reduction of tariff, and the government will not have to pay the subsidy to the sugar industry anymore. On the other hand, the sugar producer will lose benefit from reducing in sugar price, but can be offset by export expansion. In case of WTO's other member countries liberalization, the producer will gain more from rising in quantity of export, but the consumer will lose from higher domestic price. However, the study also showed the negative effects on some of the related industries. Finally, the WTO liberalization will lead Thai sugar industry to a higher competition. So, the improvement in production efficiency will be the necessary way for this industry to compete in the world market.
