แบบจำลองวัฏจักรเศรษฐกิจระหว่างประเทศ ศึกษากรณี ผลจากระดับเทคโนโลยีและกำลังทุน / สินชัย วังทรัพย์ดี = International real business cyclemodel : a case study of technology and capital shocks / Sinchai Wangsubdee
The objective of this study is to develop the real business cycle model by including a foreign sector and some important exogenous variables. The model, therefore, aims to maximize utility function of both countries subject to some constraints, such as producers' behavior in both countries (production function). The model is estimated with VAR and OLS techniques. For simplicity. the equations are linearlized. Although the study only established the model, the result of an empirical test, with quarterly data of Thailand and the United States of America between the first quarter of 1993 and the fourth quarter of 1999, found that United States of America's capital and technology changes affected significantly Thailand's real sectors more than Thailand's capital and technology changes. For example, Thailand's technology split over to its next period at 0.029. While United States of America's technology split over to Thailand's and 0.877.
