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430        ECONOMIC  INQUIRIES  AND  STUDIES
                                                           •
                  for  mischief would  be  limited  by the sma~ness of the
                  measures  as  yet  suggested,  of which  the  ineffectual
                  colonial preferences Mr. Chamberlain has talked of are
                  specimens.  The dose of protection would of course be
                  of a  poisonous nature, but a sntall dose, after all,  might
                  leave our substantial business comparatively untouched.
                  Big doses of protection are  in  truth  impossible under
                  modern conditions.!  There is more serious danger per-
                  haps to our commercial  prosperity, as  to that of other
                  nations, in the chances of war among the great civilised
                  powers.  But these we  may forbear  to  discuss.  They
                  are on the knees of the gods.  Still, it is impossible not
                  to think of wars  and what  may come  of them in  the
                  midst of the Russo-Japanese debates  and the strained
                  preparations of al]  the leading powers.  War may thus
                  alter the entire economic  development  of the century,
                  as it affected beyond a doubt at the very beginning the
                  developments of the century which has just come to an
                  end.
                                  1  See supra, vol. ii., p. 159.








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