Page 437 - clra62_0019-(GIPE)
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THE  PRESEf\T ECONOMIC  CONDITIONS  AND  OUTLOOK  429
                  '\Y ~ may  f~rJy ex~e!=t our  miscellaneous  exports, in-
                  vIsible as well as vIsible, and our miscellaneous manu-
                  factures  for  home  consumption  to grow,  though  it  is
                  quite impossible to anticipate where the growth will be
                  or where there may be I'elative and even actual decay.
                  A hundred  years  ago  canals  and  roads  occupied  the
                  pla~e now held by railways and tramways.  As yet gas
                  was  not,  the  electric  light  had  not been  so  much  as
                  imagined, and petroleum was equally unthought of; still
                  less were the improvements in steam and navigation in
                  any way anticipated.  We cannot  tell whether equally
                  revolutionary inventions may not be at hand, changing
                  the uses and powers of the metals and of innumerable
                  agricultural products, and giving an entirely new direc-
                  tion  to  different  industries  and  different  groups.  To
                  stereotype  the  present  conditions  by  using  artificial
                  means to maintain industries which appear to our short-
                  sighted ideas indispensable, but which may be the least
                  fitted  to  survive.  cannot  but  be  the extremest  foIly.
                  Even if we knew more exactly than is possible what is
                  coming, we should have  no power to prevent the sub-
                  stantial changes. but we cannot even  look forward for
                  a single generation.  The  members of the community
                  acting individuaIly  wiII  adapt  themselves  to the  new
                  circumstances almost without  knowing, the  time  their
                  legislatures and governments would be plunging widely
                  if they took the matter in hand.
                    There is nothing accordingly in  the fair· trade ideas
                  and suggestions to alter the view we have taken of the
                  economic outlook.  They are quite irrelevant in reality
                  to the question of economic development.  There is no
                  reason consequently why we  should  not look forward
                  cheerfuIIy, basing our  antici{>ations on the continuation
                  of a natural evolution to which there appears as yet no
                  siQ'n of a  check.  Possibly disturbance may come if by
                  .r;y chance our governments should be foolish  enough
                  to  let  fair-trade  nostrums  have  a  trial.  But  there  is
                  reaIly little fe.ar:  I  imagine: that fair:tr'~de ~i1l. ever get
                  so far,  while It IS  also pOSSible  that If It dId. Its power
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