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374        ECONOMIC  INQUIRIES  AND  STUll1ES
                  Tortune,  more  will  be  spent  in  all  probability in  this
                  direction, as new wants are certain to arise.  After all,
                   100 millions for internal government-for that is what
                  the figures come to, if we except the post office, where
                  the expenditure is largely productive-is not an enorm-
                  ous amount for a  community with an  income of 1,750
                  millions, being little more than 6 per cent.
                     There remains the sum of, 70 millions for army and
                  navy, for military defence.  This matter was discussed
                  so fully two years ago in a  paper which  I  read  at the
                   London  Bankers' Institute,l that it seems permissible
                  not  to  dwell  on  it  now.  The  principal  points  may,
                  however, be repeated.  Army and navy being defence
                  expenditure, the question of the amount to be spent is
                  for the most part hardly optional.  Defences of a certain
                  quality and extent have to be found if the community
                  is not to go under, and  the question  how much  these
                  should  cost is  really one for experts.  Nor does a sum
                  of 70 millions  appear overwhelmingly burdensome for
                  a  community with an  income  and  capital  so  great as
                  has  been  described, the  proportion  of  70  millions  to
                  the aggregate annual income of the people being about
                  4 per cent., and to the accumulated wealth, on the cal-
                  culation above made, about 0.47 per cent.-not a heavy
                  rate of insurance.  A  comparison of the expenditure of
                  the  great  military  nations-Russia,  Germany  and
                  France-also shows that we spend less and not more
                  in proportion to means.  F or these and the like reasons,
                  the conclusion seems unavoidable  that there is no real
                  prospect of economy in armaments, and that an increase
                  beyond the present amount is not improbable.  Always,
                  however, let  me  repeat, the question  is  not one about
                  which  there  is  any  real  choice.  The  nature  of our
                  government  tends  to  cause  neglect  of these  matters.
                  At a  given moment we  are  more  likely to  be  under-
                  armed than over-armed.  But no matter what the govern-
                  ment, the pressure to arm and prepare for emergencies

                                1  See supra, vol. ii., pp.  278-305.
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