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314       ECONOMIC  INQUIRIES  AND STUDIES

                   gested regarding the growth of expenditure generally,
                   a  large  part  must  be  really permanent, but the point
                   should be specially considered, as a certain part of lhe
                   general growth of expenditure, viz., the expenditure for
                   education,  and  for  Post  Office,  which  is  also  in  all
                   probability permanent, is  in  an  entirely different cate~
                   gory from expenditure on armaments.  We should dis~
                   regard then,  I believe, the  classification  of  70  million
                   £  of  this  army  and  navy  ~xpenditure  as  being  for
                   "war," and impliedly, therefore, temporary.  The ques-
                   tion  is  one  of opinion, and  I  should deprecate a very
                   full  discussion here, as involving questions of politics;
                   but  the  overruling facts  appear  to  be  that a  war ex-
                   penditure for two years amounting to about 70 million
                   £ a year, followed  by an estimate  of  40 million £ for
                   the next year, must be held to  indicate a situation of a
                   chronic  character,  implying  expenditure  of a  similar
                   nature for  some  years  to  come.  The expenditure, in
                   fact,  is  not  so  much  for  war as  for  the  more  or less
                   permanent occupation of a difficult  country, which un-
                   avoidable circumstan.ces,  I  for one should admit, com-
                   pel  us  to occupy,  where  there  are  good  reasons  also
                   for  believing the  burden  will  diminish,  and  diminish
                   greatly, in time,  but where improvement is conditional
                   on  our  facing  the  evil  at  its  WOfst.  What  we  have
                   really  to  face  then  on  account  of  South  Africa  is  a
                   costly army of occupation, with corresponding charges
                   for  an army at  home  to  send  reliefs  to  it  as  we  now
                   send reliefs to India and our other colonial possessions.
                   As to  Army and Navy generally, also, the international
                   position appears to be such that for some years to come
                   the British  Empire must exhibit a great and unwonted
                   development of force.  The  reason  is that we are sur~
                   rounded  as  we  never  were  before  by  great  military
                   powers  who  possess  powerful  and increasing  navies;
                   that we have extensive land frontiers in all parts of the
                   globe,  with,. active  enemies  near  them,  especially  in
                   Asia  and 'Africa,  such  as  we  never  had  before;  and
                   that our staying power, if we are checked, owing to our
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