Page 37 - clra62_0019-(GIPE)
P. 37

THE UTILITY  OF  COMMON  STATISTICS      31
                  States  by  an  addition  of about  15  millions  of popu-
                  lation.  It appears, however, that a  large  part of this
                  area belongs to  the  rainless  region;  so that probably
                 ; less than two-thirds of this 15 millions would fill up the
                  available area to the limit of the thirteen original States.
                  There remains only the last division of all; but it would
                  seem that the available area here cannot be put at more
                  than 400,000 square  miles, on which  the present rural
                  population would be about  3 per square mile;  so that
                  if the f>opulation grows to the limit of the older States,
                  the additIon to the population necessary would be about
                  10 to 12 millions only.  Altogether an addition of about
                  20 to 25  millions to the rural population of the  United
                  States  1 would seem all  that is required to occupy the
                  available  area  in  the  same  way  that  the  oldest  and
                  most settled part is now occupied.  When that point is
                  reached, the present conditions of expansion must begin
                  to change.
                     How long will it be till the point is reached?  Some
                  'idea of this  may be formed  from a comparison of the
                  increase  of the  total  population  with  the  increase  of
                  the city population.  This is  shown in a table at p. 29
                  of the Introduction to  the Population  Statistics of the
                  Census, already referred to, from which it appears that
                  the total population increased nearly 12 millions in the
                  last census period, and the urban population nearly 31
                  millions, so that the rural population increased 81 mil-
                       2
                  lions. Of course it may be urged that the rural popu-
                  lation  may  have  increased  in  the  older  parts  of the
                  country  as  well  as  the  new,  but  it  is  interesting  to
                  observe how much of the absolute increase  of popula-
                  tion  is  in the second and third groups, and  not in the
                  first.  This  is  shown  in  the  table  on  the  next  page,
                  extracted from  the  U  Introduction to the United States
                  Census."

                    I  Viz.,  S millions to second group, 10 millions to Group III.a, and
                   10 millions to Group III.b.
                    •  The following is a copy of the figures here referred to, the urban
                   population  here  acwunted  for,  however, being  somewhat less  than
   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42