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ARE  WE  LIVING ON  CAPITAL?       293
                   more  than made good  during the  five  years  after the
                   clos,?f the war  down  to 1870, and  the  nation  must
                   in  a~a~ition  have  created  new capital  to the extent of
                                          1
                   £2,800,000,000  sterling. My conviction  is,  however,
                   that  at  no time  during  the civil  war  itself could  the
                   capital of the nation have been diminished.  Great ex-
                   penditures were being incurred to carry on the war, and
                   there was a great diversion  of labour from  other pur-
                   suits to carry it on, but the'expenditure, great as it was,
                   must have been borne out of the income of the country,
                   and did  not 'prevent  the  investment of new capital in
                   houses, in factories, in railway construction, and in other
                   public works.
                     The increase of capital here referred to, it must also
                   be  remembered,  is  an  increase  that  took  place  after
                   aIJowing for any diminution that may have occurred in
                   the Southern States of the Union which were defeated,
                   and were, no doubt,  in  a  state of great exhaustion at
                   the  end  of the  war.  Whatever diminution may have
                   been due to this cause,  the figures  stated  allow for it,
                   the  Southern  as  well  as  the  Northern  States  of the
                   Union being comprised in the return.  Probably enough,
                   the exhaustion of the south may have been exaggerated
                   from the present point of view.  The capital of the south
                   was not, in  fact, destroyed  by the war any more  than
                   the capital of the north, because it consisted so largely
                   of land and property which  could  not  run  away,  and
                   what was injured was  really the fringe  of the  capital,
                   and  not  the  main  capital  itself.  The  moment  peace
                   was  restored  means  were  found  to  resume  industry
                   almost as if there had been no war.
                     The next illustration I propose to give is that of the
                   Franco-German war, which involved an enormous out-
                   lay  during  the  short  period  it  lasted  and,  probably,
                   cost  France, according  to a  calculation  which  I made

                     1  Some deduction ought perhaps to be made from  the latter sum
                   on account of the depreciation of paper money, which was the money
                   of the  country in 1870, but  after all  allowances  the  increase would
                   still be enormous.
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