Page 296 - clra62_0019-(GIPE)
P. 296

288'       ECONOMIC  INQUIRIES AND  STUDIES
                  want to  borrow at  call or at very short terms is itself
                  limited by the nature of the transactions in which such
                  money  is  useful,  then  the share  of that short  nyJOey
                  held by foreign bankers and foreign merchants at any
                  time, must equally be limited.  Clearly they cannot be
                  holders  of all  the short money in the market, because
                  home bankers and others find it equally necessary and
                  convenient  to  hold  such  money.  At  the  most,  then,
                  foreign bankers and  merchafits  can have  but a share.
                  Whatever, then, may be the amount of the short money
                  borrowed  and  lent  at  a  given  time  in  the  London
                  market,  say,  perhaps,  £200,000,000  to  £300,000,000
                  sterling, foreign bankers and merchants at the outside
                  can only be  holders of a part, considering  the  magni-
                  tude  of English  banking  money  and  the  necessarily
                  large  proportion  of that money  which  bankers  must
                  hold  at call  or short notice.  My  own. impression  is,
                  that  a  sum  of about  £50,000,000  sterling  held  by
                  foreign bankers and merchants in London and liable to
                  be called at short notice would probably be a maximum
                  amount, but on this head, of course, the audience before
                  me will have better means of forming an opinion from
                  time to time  than I can  possibly have.  But whatever
                  the amount may be, even if it should be such a maximum
                  as  .£ 100,000,000  sterling,  which  seems  far  over any
                  possible  mark,  the  point to  be observed  is  that  any
                  change in the amount of a fund of this nature from time
                  to time can  have little to do with the question  of the
                  nation living on its capital.  The whole  capital  of the
                  nation at the present time is probably not far short of
                  £  15,000,000,000 sterling, while the annual increase in
                  ordinary times must at least be between £  200,000,000
                                             1
                  and  £300,000,000  sterling.  A  difference  of a  few
                  millions,  therefore,  say, ten  or twenty  millions  in  the
                    1  I  have not made any recent calculations on the subject since the
                  publication of my book on the" Growth of Capital," which dealt with
                  the  figures  down  to  1885,  but,  from  the increase  of Income  Tax
                  Returns, it is  evident that there has been an enormous growth since
                  then, justifying some such figure as that here suggested.
   291   292   293   294   295   296   297   298   299   300   301