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252        ~ .. )l)JIC  INQUIRIES  AND  STUDIES
                           .   ECOlf-
                                /'
                   reasonsr~s.'ivenience, and  a  garrison  of  10,000,  it
                   'Was,~.d, would  suffice.  I  ascertained,  however, that
                  jf' .ne opinion of the highest civil authorities in Ireland
                  nothing less than  30,000 was considered sufficient, the
                  object being not merely to hold the country with a firm
                  military grip, but  to prevent even  the  beginning of a
                  rising.  In putting down 40,000, therefore, as the need-
                  ful  force  to  be  stationed  in  Ireland for  all objects  in
                  time. of peace, including  the  stoppage  of raids at  the
                  outbreak  of war,  I  believe  I  am  not  so  wide  of  the
                  mark.  l   The estimate, again, of other 40,000 troops at
                  home,  in  addition  to  garrisons,  does  not  seem  ex-
                  travagant.  We must be ready in Great Britain against
                  raids at the outbreak of war on at least as great a scale
                  as  we  are  ready in Ireland, and  even  the  chances  of
                  civil commotion are not wholly to be overlooked.
                    Along  with  the garrisons  of fortified  places, there-
                  fore,  we  should  on  this  estimate  always  require  at
                  home on a peace footing about 110,000 trained soldiers
                  -30,000 for garrisons, and  a field force of 80,000.  If
                  we had such a field force it is obvious that incidentally
                  an  emergency  like  the late  South  African  war  could
                  be met.  The field force could be sent away and reserves
                  of some kind called out to take their place.  But equally
                  the force must be there on a peace footing before such
                  a use could be found for it.
                     I have to call special attention to the phrase" trained
                  soldiers" which  I  have used.  There is a great deal of
                  confusion in these matters, from  the way in which, for
                  certain purposes, the numbers  on  the home establish-
                  ment  of the  Regular  Army  are  spoKen  of.  These
                  numbers, by  the  last  estimate,  are  155,000,  which  is
                  45,000 in excess of the number of trained soldiers  re-
                  quired.  Unfortunately  the  155,000  comprise  a  vast
                  number of raw recruits and immature youths who can-
                  not  be  considered  fit  for  service,  to  the  number  of
                  perhaps 90,000 altogether.  Deducting this 90,000 from
                    1  See also  the references in the debate on Mr. Brodrick's Resolu-
                  tions to Mr.  Childers's letters at the time of the Majuba business.
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