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214        ECONOMIC  INQUIRIES  AND  STUDIES
                  two reasons:  I.  The necessity for  increasing the per-
                  manent  standing  army  by  100,000  to  150,000  men,
                  which is rendered unavoidable in  part  by the state of
                  affairs in Soilth Africa, and in part by the necessity for
                  strengthening our garrisons in Egypt and other places
                  which the defects of our want of preparation in  South
                  Africa have made manifest.  2.  The evident necessity
                  which has arisen for increasing sensibly the pay of the
                  army all round.  At present about 150,000 is the number
                  of the  regular  establishment,  exclusive  of India.  An
                  addition of £ 10 per head to the pay ofthis force alone
                  would come to £1,500,000 per annum;  but  the addi-
                  tional  pay must be  given  not to  150,000  merely,  but
                  probably to  250,000 or  300,000 men at the very time
                  also that preparations are being made for improving the
                  auxiliary  forces  at home,  and  that reserves  of stores,
                  guns, and ammunition  are  being  prepared on  a  scale
                  that has not hitherto been thought of.  It is hard to see,
                  then, in what way the doubling of the Army Estimates,
                  whichjust beforethewarhadmounted upto £  20,000,000
                  sterling, can be avoided.
                     The  indirect teaching  of the war goes  further.  It
                  has brought the country face  to face with new and un-
                  wonted political dangers.  The hostility to us of almost
                  every continental people has  been  revealed,  and  the
                  nation has felt that in its fight in  South  Africa  it has
                  been fighting not merely the  Boers, but the ,continent
                  of Europe.  No continental  Government has  actually
                  menaced us  with  intervention;  but  the will  has  been
                  there, and our success in South  Africa will be bitterly
                  resented.  The feeling evidently is in France, in Ger-
                  many,  and  in  Russia,  that  England has  too  much of
                  the world, and that  its  dominion  should  be  curtailed.
                  Germany  and  France,  moreover,  are  each  of them
                  covetous  of some  of our possessions  for  themselves,
                  and Russia at least finds  us very much  in  the way of
                  its own enterprises.  The other great world-power, the
                   United States, has also given some encouragement to
                  the idea of intervention on the sentimental ground of
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