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I 12       ECONOMIC. INQUIRIES  AND  STUDIES
                  know,  is  foreign  competition.  The  explanation  has
                  been  discredited  because  of  the  exaggeration of  the
                  alleged evil to be explained;  but  it may possibly be a
                  good enough explanation of the actual facts when they
                  are looked at in a  proper way.  In this light, then, the
                  assertion  as  to  foreign competition would  be found to
                  mean  that  foreigners  are  taking  away  from  us  some
                  business we should otherwise have had,  and that, con-
                  sequently, although our business on the whole increases
                  from  year to year,  it does not increase so fast as when
                  foreign  competition  was  less.  Those  who  talk  most
                  about foreign  competition  have  actually in  their mind
                  the  unfair  element  in  that  competition,  the  stimulus
                  which the Governments of some foreign countries give
                  or attempt to give to particular industries by means on
                  the one hand of high tariffs keeping out the goods we
                  should  otherwise  send  to  such  countries,  and  giving
                  their  home  industry  of  the  same  kind  a  monopoly
                  which  sometimes  enables  them  to  produce  a  surplus
                  they can sell ruinously cheap abroad, and by means on
                  the other hand of direct bounties which  enable certain
                  industries to compete in the home market of the United
                  Kingdom itself as well as in foreign markets.  But there
                  is a  natural foreign  competition as well as a stimulated
                  foreign competition to be considered, and it may be the
                  more formidable of the two.
                     Dealing  first  with  the  stimulated  competition,  the
                  most obvious  criticism  on  this  alleged  explanation of
                  the recent decline in the rate of increase of our material
                  progress is that the stimulus given by foreign Govern-
                   ments in  recent  years  has  not  been  increasing, or, at
                  any rate, not materially increasing, so as to account for
                   the  change  in  question.  People  forget  very quickly;
                   otherwise it would not be lost sight of that after 1860,
                  as far as European nations are concerned, there was a
                  great reduction of tariff duties-a change, therefore,  in
                   the contrary direction to that stimulus which is alleged
                   to have  lately caused a  change in the rate of our own
                   development.  Since  about  five  or  six  years ago  the
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