Page 148 - clra62_0019-(GIPE)
P. 148

140        ECONOMIC  INQUIRIES  AND  STUDIES
                  known  as  staple  industries, it need  not  be  becoming
                  poorer for that reason;  all that is happening is that its
                  wealth and income are taking a different shape.
                    I t is quite conceivable, then, and is in truth not im-
                  probable, that a check  to  the  former  rate  of material
                  growth  in certain directions  may have  taken  place  of
                  Jate years without any corresponding check to the rate
                  of material growth generally, which would seem  to be
                  inconsistent with such facts  as  the  growth  of popula-
                  tion,  diminution of pauperism, increase of houses, and
                  the  like.  The truth  would  seem  to  be  that with  the
                  growth of staple industries, such as cotton, wool,  coal,
                  and  iron,  up  to a  point,  there  being  reasons  for  the
                  remarkably quick development of each for  many years
                  up  to 1875, there  comes  a  growth of new  wants, the
                  satisfaction  of which  drafts  a  portion  of  the national
                  energy in new directions.  Just because certain staples
                  developed themselves  greatly between  1855 and 1875
                  the  time  was  likely to  arrive  when  they would  grow
                  not quite  so fast.  For the  same  reason  the  rapid  in-
                  crease  for  a  certain  period  in  the  consumption  per
                  head  of articles  like  sugar  and  tea  was  likely  to  be
                  followed  by  a  less  rapid  increase,  the  wants of con-
                  sumers taking a  new direction.  Probably owing to the
                  more and more miscellaneous character of modern  in-
                  dustry, it will become more and more difficult to follow
                  its  development  by dealing with  staple  articles  only,
                  while  changes  in  aggregate values  are untrustworthy
                  as  indications  of real  changes  owing  to  changes  in
                  prices.  Already there seems to be no doubt the staple
                  articles are no longer a sufficient indication.
                     A  supplementary explanation  may be  added which
                  helps  to  explain  another  difficulty  in  the  matter  by
                  which  people are puzzled.  I can imagine them saying
                   that  it is  all very well  to  pooh-pooh the  non-increase
                  or slower increase  of the production of staple articles,
                  and  to  assume  that  industry  is  becoming  more  and
                  more  miscellaneous;  but  other  countries  go  on  in-
                  creasing their production of these same staple anicles.
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